Oscar predicting vs. Oscar deserving

After watching the Oscar nominated films and individual performances (ok, we didn't watch Life of Pi, we have our reasons) here is our contrast between who we believe will win versus what film or actor we think deserves top honors (and a few "overlooked" and "honorable mentions"). We agreed in most cases, but diverged on a few.

Best supporting female actor

Predicted: Anne Hathaway (Les Miserables)

Deserved: Anne Hathaway (Les Miserables)

Best supporting male actor

Predicted: Christopher Waltz (Django Unchained)

Deserved: CK: Christopher Waltz (Django Unchained)

                 KH: Robert De Nero (Silver Linings Playbook)

Best female actor

Predicted: Jessica Chastain (Zero Dark Thirty)

Deserved: KH: Emmanuel Riva (Amour)

                 CK: Quvenzhane Wallis (Beasts of the Southern Wild)

Best male actor:

Predicted: Daniel Day-Lewis (Lincoln)

Deserved: Daniel Day-Lewis (Lincoln)

Honorable Mention: Bradley Cooper (Silver Linings Playbook)

Overlooked: Dwight Henry (Beasts of the Southern Wild)

Best director

Predicted: Michael Haneke (Amour)

Deserved: Michael Haneke (Amour)

Honorable Mention: Benh Zeitlin (Beasts of the Southern Wild)

Overlooked: Ben Affleck (Argo)

Best picture

Predicted: Argo

Deserved: Amour

Writing (Original Screenplay)

Predicted: Django Unchained

Deserved: Django Unchained

Writing (Adapted Screenplay)

Predicted: Lincoln

Deserved: Silver Linings Playbook